Saturday, January 7, 2012

2012 Allocations

These charts are updated monthly....

Aggressive allocation:




Moderate allocation:



Sunday, November 6, 2011

2011 Allocations

These charts are updated monthly....

Aggressive allocation:




Moderate allocation:



Saturday, April 16, 2011

April 2011 Moderate allocation


Allocation for April:
Stocks: 35%
Bonds: 65%


Friday, July 16, 2010

July moderate allocation

Nothing changed in June. Markets appear risky.

Positive factors:

None

Neutral factors:
Long term trend (within 8% of 200 day)
Market valuations
Sentiment

Negative factors:
Underlying technical strength
'Ahead of curve' investor positioning

Allocation for July:
Stocks: 15%
Bonds: 85%


July aggressive allocation

Nothing changed in June. Underlying technical strength is negative and sentiment/valuations are neutral.

Positive factors:
None

Neutral factors:
Long term trend
Market valuations
Sentiment

Negative factors:
Underlying technical strength
'Ahead of curve' investor positioning

Allocation for July:
Stocks: 25%
Bonds: 75%

Wednesday, June 2, 2010

June aggressive allocation

To my surprise, many indicators are stuck in the middle and smart money is staying away from being allocated to stocks aggressively. This is the lowest stock allocation reading so far. High VIX seems to be throwing a lot of smart money investors to the sidelines. Many intermediate term breadth indicators have deteriorated in the month of May.

Positive factors:
None

Neutral factors:
Long term trend
Market valuations
Sentiment

Negative factors:
Underlying technical strength
'Ahead of curve' investor positioning

Allocation for June:
Stocks: 25%
Bonds: 75%

June moderate allocation

To my surprise, many indicators are stuck in the middle and smart money is staying away from being allocated to stocks aggressively. This is the lowest stock allocation reading so far. High VIX seems to be throwing a lot of smart money investors to the sidelines. Many intermediate term breadth indicators have deteriorated in the month of May.

Positive factors:

None

Neutral factors:
Long term trend (within stone throwing distance of 200 day)
Market valuations
Sentiment

Negative factors:
Underlying technical strength
'Ahead of curve' investor positioning

Allocation for June:
Stocks: 15%
Bonds: 85%